Should central banks continue to raise interest rates to combat inflation, even at the risk of triggering a recession?
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Central banks may need to raise interest rates to reduce inflation, as higher rates discourage borrowing and spending, which can help lower aggregate demand and combat inflation. However, this can also reduce investment and consumer confidence, potentially leading to lower economic growth and higher unemployment. Moreover, lower aggregate demand could lead to a recession if the economy is working with spare capacity, where the real GDP would be falling without a fall in the price level. In conclusion, it depends on the extent of spare capacity in the economy.